Dynamic evolution of red blood cell distribution width level in predicting prognosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis
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    Abstract:

    Objective:To assess the predictive value of the red blood cell distribution width(RDW) in evaluation of prognosis in severe acute pancreatitis patients. Methods:From January 2014 to January 2016,a total of 72 patients with severe acute pancreatitis were retrospectively analyzed. Comparisons for APHACH II score,SOFA score,RDW(RDWd1),procalcitonin,white blood cells,red blood cells,hemoglobin,serum amylase,albumin and C-reactive protein,which obtained at the first day after admission to ICU,were performed between survivors and non-survivors. The patients were divided into four groups according to RDWd1 value and RDWd3-d1(RDW at the third day-RDWd1). The Kaplan-Meier curve was used to evaluate the prognostic value of dynamic evolution of RDW for 90-days mortality. Log-rank test was performed to evaluate difference between groups. Results:Levels of APHACH II score,SOFA score,RDWd1 and procalcitonin on the first day were significantly higher in non-survivors(P < 0.001). In the univariate model,advanced age and RDWd1 were the independent risk factors of prognosis in SAP patients(OR=6.257,95%CI:1.539~25.440,P=0.010,and OR=2.554,95%CI:1.218~5.353,P=0.013). The optimal cut-off value of RDWd1 for predicting 90-days mortality was 14.8(the area under the ROC curve was 0.773,95%CI:0.652~0.893,P < 0.001). Patients with increased RDWd1 and RDWd3-d1>0.2% exhibited the highest risks for mortality(P=0.023). Conclusion:RDW and itself early dynamic elevation can be potential independent prognostic markers in patients with severe acute pancreatitis.

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Wang Zhen, Shen Guanggui, Wang Tong, Zhong Changshun, Xiao Shi, Chen Qun, Zhang Meijun, Yin Hongzhen, Lu Weihua. Dynamic evolution of red blood cell distribution width level in predicting prognosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis[J].,2016,(10):1218-1221,1240.

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History
  • Received:May 24,2016
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  • Online: October 17,2016
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