基于DPSIR模型的职工医保基金可持续发展能力评价研究
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作者单位:

安徽医科大学卫生管理学院,安徽 合肥 230032

作者简介:

张梦雨(2002—),女,安徽亳州人,硕士研究生在读,研究方向为社会保障,卫生资源;
汤质如(1971—),男,安徽合肥人,硕士,教授,研究方向为卫生经济学、医疗保险,通信作者,2000500016@ahmu.edu.cn。

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中图分类号:

F842.6;R197.1

基金项目:

安徽医科大学医院管理研究所项目“医联体背景下基于耦合理论的慢性病分级诊疗实施效果研究”(2023gykj04)


Research on the evaluation of the sustainable development capacity of the employee medical insurance fund based on the DPSIR model
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Affiliation:

School of Health Administration,Anhui Medical University,Hefei 230032 ,China

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    摘要:

    为科学评价职工医保基金的可持续发展能力,研究基于驱动力—压力—状态—影响— 响应(DPSIR)模型构建评价体系,采用熵权综合指数法确定各指标权重,计算综合评价值。结果显示,2022年东、中、西部地区职工医保基金的可持续发展能力总体存在差异,在驱动力和状态维度,东部地区和中、西部地区差异明显,在压力、影响和响应维度上差异较小;2013—2022年,职工医保基金的可持续发展能力总体呈上升趋势,综合评价值稳步提升,其中驱动力、状态和影响指标整体呈增长态势,而压力和响应指标呈下降趋势。结果表明,需进一步完善筹资渠道,加强医保支出管理,优化医疗资源配置,并增强政策创新能力,以实现职工医保基金的可持续发展。

    Abstract:

    To scientifically evaluate the sustainable development capacity of the employee medical insurance fund,this paper constructs an evaluation system based on the DPSIR model and adopts the entropy weight comprehensive index method to determine the weights of each indicator, and calculates the comprehensive evaluation value. The results show that there are overall regional disparities in the sustainable development capacity of the employee medical insurance fund across eastern,central and western regions in 2022. The differences between the eastern,central,and western regions are evident in the driving force and state dimensions,while the differences are relatively small in the pressure,impact and response dimensions. From 2013 to 2022,the sustainable development capacity of the employee medical insurance fund generally followed an overall upward trend,with a steady increase in the comprehensive evaluation value. Specifically, the driving force,state and influence indicators showed an overall increasing trend,while the pressure and response indicators presented a decreasing trend. These findings suggest further improving fundraising channels, strengthening the management of medical insurance expenses,optimizing the allocation of healthcare resources, and enhancing the policy innovation capacity to achieve sustainable development of the employee medical insurance fund.

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张梦雨,郭孟子,赵虎,雷易简,汤质如.基于DPSIR模型的职工医保基金可持续发展能力评价研究[J].南京医科大学学报(社会科学版),2026,26(1):51~56

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-09
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-02-28
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