新质生产力对医药制造产业链韧性的影响研究
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作者:
作者单位:

1. 安徽中医药大学医药经济管理学院 ;2. 数据科学与中医药创新发展安徽省哲学社会科学重点实验室,安徽 合肥 230012

作者简介:

李金洪(2000—),男,安徽合肥人,硕士研究生在读,研究方向为中医药经济管理;

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

F426;R199.2

基金项目:

安徽省教育厅科研计划哲社重点项目“基于道地性追溯与协同创新的安徽黄精产业链现代化研究”(2022AH050425);安徽省社会科学创新发展研究项目“振兴中医药文化背景下基层中医药服务能力提升路径研究”(2022CX535);安徽中医药大学校级教学研究项目“基于知识图谱+TSL的智慧教学模式探索驱动医药院校管理专业改革实践”(2024xjjy_yb022)


Research on the impact of new quality productive forces on the resilience of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain
Author:
Affiliation:

1. School of Pharmaceutical Economics and Management ;2. Key Laboratory of Data Science and Innovative Development of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Philosophy and Social Sciences of Anhui Province, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei 230012 , China

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    摘要:

    为解析新质生产力对医药制造产业链韧性的影响机制,推动医药制造产业高质量发展,文章基于2018—2023年31个省份面板数据,建立新质生产力、医药制造产业链韧性综合评价指标体系,运用多元计量经济模型展开实证研究。基准回归结果表明,新质生产力对医药制造产业链韧性存在强正向促进作用。中介效应检验显示,新质生产力通过推动产业结构升级,间接增强医药制造产业链韧性。异质性分析发现,与东、西部地区相比,中部地区新质生产力促进医药制造产业链韧性提升效果更明显。门槛效应模型表明,新质生产力与医药制造产业链韧性间存在新质生产力单一门槛效应。研究表明,应强化科技创新驱动,推动产业结构优化升级,实施区域差异化发展策略,优化门槛跨越路径等,以提升我国医药制造产业链整体韧性水平。

    Abstract:

    This study aims to analyze the impact mechanism of new quality productive forces on the resilience of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain, and promote the high-quality development of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Based on panel data from 31 provinces from 2018 to 2023, the study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for new quality productive forces and industry chain resilience while conducting empirical research using multiple econometric models. Baseline regression results indicate that new quality productive forces have a significantly positive effect on enhancing the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain resilience. Mediation analyses show that new quality productive forces indirectly enhance the industry chain resilience by facilitating industrial structural upgrading. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that compared with the western and eastern regions, the central region demonstrates a more pronounced effect of new quality productive forces in promoting the resilience of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain. The threshold regression model verifies the presence of a single threshold effect of new quality productive forces on the resilience of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain. Based on the empirical research results, the study recommends strengthening innovation-driven technological development, promoting industrial structure optimization and upgrading, implementing tailored regional development strategies, and optimizing threshold-crossing paths, thereby enhancing the overall resilience level of China's pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain.

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李金洪,李爱玉.新质生产力对医药制造产业链韧性的影响研究[J].南京医科大学学报(社会科学版),2026,(2):177~184

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-29
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