长期护理保险、家庭收入水平与家庭消费 ——基于CHARLS数据的实证研究
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安徽财经大学

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教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目“我国长期护理社会保险不同模式政策仿真与优选研究”(18YJCZH123)


Long-Term Care Insurance, Household Income Level, and Household Consumption:Empirical Study Based on CHARLS Data
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Anhui University of Finance and Economics

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Project of Humanities and Social Sciences Youth Fund of Ministry of Education "Policy Simulation and Optimization Research of Different Mode of Long-term Care Social Insurance in China" (18YJCZH123)

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    摘要:

    我国老龄化程度不断加深且家庭养老负担不断加重,可能会对消费产生不利影响,如何在维持老年人身体健康的同时促进家庭消费,是我国在深化改革过程中所面临的实际问题。基于中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)四期数据,运用双重差分法评估长护险政策对家庭消费的影响,发现:长护险政策对家庭消费具有显著正向作用;异质性检验表明,与对照组相比,城镇和东中部地区受政策冲击影响更大,并且效应呈扩大趋势;进一步研究发现,中介效应清晰揭示出“长护险政策?家庭收入水平?家庭消费”这一传导机制。本文识别出长护险政策与家庭消费的作用机理和传导路径,有助于发挥长护险的健康效应和经济效应,为进一步深化医疗体系改革提供有益参考。

    Abstract:

    China's deepening aging and the increasing burden of household old-age care may adversely affect consumption, and how to promote household consumption while maintaining the health of the elderly is a practical problem faced by China in the process of deepening reform. Based on data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, the effect of long-term care insurance policy on household consumption is evaluated using the Difference-in-Differences method, and it is found that: long-term care insurance policy has a significant positive effect on household consumption; the heterogeneity test shows that urban and east-central regions are more affected by the policy shock than the control group, and the effect tends to expand; further study finds that the mediating effect clearly reveals that Further study finds that the mediating effect clearly reveals the transmission mechanism of "Long-term care insurance policy?Household income level?Household consumption ". This paper identifies the mechanisms and transmission paths between long-term care insurance policy and household consumption, which can help bring into play the health and economic effects of long-term care insurance and provide useful references for further deepening the reform of the health care system.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-07-05
  • 最后修改日期:2022-08-09
  • 录用日期:2022-08-15
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