Objective:Based on the panel data of Anhui Province in 2016, South Anhui and Anhui, this study Used the coupling coordination model and the method of combination coordination to evaluate the situation of medical and health care and the trend of coordinated development during the tenth five-year plan period. Methods: The evaluation system including 17 indexes was constructed, and the weight was determined by entropy method. Calculate the coupling coordination degree between the 13th Five-Year Plan period and the 14th Five-Year Plan period, The key indexes from 2023 to 2025 are forecasted by combining the grey GM (1,1) model and ARIMA model. Results: The coordination between medical resources and economic development in Anhui Province was " inverted U-shaped ". The policy short-term driving effect is obvious but the persistence is insufficient; the regional difference is prominent, the middle of Anhui becomes the coordination core, the northern Anhui faces the decline because of the resources adaptation weakening, Southern Anhui has been in a low coordinated state for a long time, and the Unbalanced development of the two systems persists. Conclusion: We should establish dynamic policy guarantee system, perfect public health emergency management system, promote regional cooperation, Construct the linkage mechanism of the whole province, innovate the investment mechanism and deepen the system reform. Key Words Health Service Capacity;