新质生产力对医药制造产业链韧性的影响研究
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安徽中医药大学

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安徽省教育厅科研计划哲社重点项目“基于道地性追溯与协同创新的安徽黄精产业链现代化研究”(2022AH050425);安徽省社会科学创新发展研究项目“振兴中医药文化背景下基层中医药服务能力提升路径研究”(2022CX535);安徽中医药大学2024年度校级教学研究项目“基于知识图谱+TSL的智慧教学模式探索驱动医药院校管理专业改革实践”(2024xjjy_yb022)


Research on the impact of new quality productive forces on the resilience of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain
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    解析新质生产力对医药制造产业链韧性的影响机制,推动医药制造产业高质量发展。文章基于2018—2023年31个省份面板数据,建立新质生产力、医药制造产业链韧性综合评价指标体系,运用多元计量经济模型展开实证研究。基准回归结果表明,新质生产力对医药制造产业链韧性存在强正向促进作用。中介效应检验显示,新质生产力通过推动产业结构升级,间接增强医药制造产业链韧性。异质性分析发现,与西、东部地区相比,中部地区新质生产力促进医药制造产业链韧性提升效果更盛。门槛效应模型验证,新质生产力与医药制造产业链韧性间存在新质生产力单一门槛效应。基于实证研究结果,应强化科技创新驱动、推动产业结构优化升级、实施区域差异化发展策略、优化门槛跨越路径等,以提升我国医药制造产业链整体韧性水平。

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    This study analyzes the impact mechanism of new quality productive forces on the resilience of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain, promoting high-quality development of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Based on panel data from 31 provinces from 2018 to 2023, the article establishes a comprehensive evaluation index system for new quality productive forces and pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain resilience, and conducts empirical research using multiple econometric models. Baseline regression results indicate that new quality productive forces have a strong positive promoting effect on pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain resilience. Mediation effect tests show that new quality productive forces indirectly enhance pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain resilience by promoting industrial structure upgrading. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that compared with the western and eastern regions, the central region demonstrates a more pronounced effect of new quality productive forces in promoting pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain resilience enhancement. The threshold effect model verifies that there exists a single threshold effect of new quality productive forces between new quality productive forces and pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain resilience. Based on the empirical research results, it is recommended to strengthen science and technology innovation drivers, promote industrial structure optimization and upgrading, implement regionally differentiated development strategies, and optimize threshold-crossing paths, in order to enhance the overall resilience level of China’s pharmaceutical manufacturing industry chain.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-09-10
  • 最后修改日期:2025-12-11
  • 录用日期:2025-12-15
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