弥漫性慢性鼻窦炎术后嗅觉预后模型的构建与分析
作者:
作者单位:

1.南京医科大学第一附属医院耳鼻咽喉科/过敏诊疗中心 ;2.南京医科大学国际变态反应研究中心,江苏 南京 210029

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

R765.41

基金项目:

江苏省科教能力提升工程(JSDW202203)


Construction and analysis of an olfactory prognosis model for postoperative outcomes in diffuse chronic rhinosinusitis
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Department of Otorhinolaryngology/Clinical Allergy Center,the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing MedicalUniversity ;2.International Centre for Allergy Research,Nanjing Medical University,Nanjing 210029 ,China

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    目的:探讨弥漫性慢性鼻窦炎伴鼻息肉(chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps,CRSwNP)患者的临床特征与初次鼻内镜术后嗅觉预后的关系,建立并验证弥漫性CRSwNP患者初次鼻内镜术后嗅觉改善不佳的列线图预测模型。方法:收集并分析于南京医科大学第一附属医院耳鼻咽喉科行初次鼻内镜手术治疗的67例弥漫性CRSwNP嗅觉障碍患者的临床资料,根据术后嗅觉改善情况分为嗅觉改善组(50例)和嗅觉未改善组(17例),通过单因素和多因素Logistic回归分析影响嗅觉改善的因素,据此建立弥漫性CRSwNP患者初次鼻内镜术后嗅觉预后的列线图模型并评估其预测效果。结果:多因素分析结果提示病程长短(β=0.527,OR=1.693,95%CI:1.139~2.517)、Lund-Mackay鼻窦CT评分(β=0.704,OR=2.021,95%CI:1.208~3.382)、外周血嗜酸性粒细胞比值(β=0.311,OR=1.365,95%CI:1.026~1.815)、筛窦与上颌窦 CT 评分的比值(β=0.954,OR=2.597,95%CI: 1.263~5.340)是弥漫性CRSwNP初次鼻内镜术后嗅觉改善不佳的独立预测因素,据此构建的列线图模型预测弥漫性CRSwNP 初次鼻内镜术后嗅觉改善的受试者工作特征(reciever operating characteristic,ROC)曲线的曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC) 为0.770(95%CI:0.658~0.881,P < 0.01),C指数为0.856(0.817~0.894),校准曲线的绝对误差平均为0.034。结论:根据病程、 Lund-Mackay 鼻窦 CT 评分、外周血嗜酸性粒细胞比值、筛窦与上颌窦 CT 评分的比值构建的列线图模型可以预测弥漫性 CRSwNP患者初次鼻内镜术后的嗅觉改善情况,对临床工作有一定的指导作用。

    Abstract:

    Objective:To explore the relationship between clinical characteristics and olfactory prognosis after the first endoscopic sinus surgery in patients with diffuse chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps(CRSwNP). Additionally,to establish and verify a nomogram prediction model for poor olfactory improvement after the first endoscopic sinus surgery in these patients. Methods:Clinical data were collected and analyzed from 67 patients with diffuse CRSwNP and olfactory dysfunction who underwent their first endoscopic sinus surgery at the Department of Otolaryngology,the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University. Based on the postoperative improvement in olfactory dysfunction,patients were categorized into an improvement group(50 cases)and a non - improvement group(17 cases). Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses were conducted to identify factors influencing olfactory improvement. Based on these factors,a nomogram model was established and its predictive performance was evaluated. Results: Multivariate analysis indicated that the length of the disease course(β=0.527,OR=1.693,95%CI:1.139-2.517),Lund-Mackay sinus CT score(β=0.704,OR=2.021,95%CI:1.208-3.382),peripheral blood eosinophil ratio(β=0.311,OR=1.365,95%CI:1.026-1.815), and the ratio of ethmoid to maxillary sinus CT scores(β=0.954,OR=2.597,95%CI:1.263-5.340)were independent predictive factors for diffuse CRSwNP patients with poor olfactory improvement after their first endoscopic surgery. The nomogram model constructed based on these factors showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve is 0.770(95%CI:0.658-0.881,P < 0.01),a C-index of 0.856(0.817-0.894),and a mean absolute error of 0.034 in the calibration curve. Conclusion:The nomogram model based on the disease course,Lund-Mackay sinus CT score,peripheral blood eosinophil ratio,and the ratio of ethmoid to maxillary sinus CT scores can predict olfactory improvement after the first endoscopic sinus surgery in diffuse CRSwNP patients,providing valuable clinical guidance.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

洪陈,张家齐,顾敏,殷敏,朱歆洁,程雷,陆美萍.弥漫性慢性鼻窦炎术后嗅觉预后模型的构建与分析[J].南京医科大学学报(自然科学版),2024,(8):1106-1113

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2024-04-08
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-08-09
  • 出版日期:
通知关闭
郑重声明