HD-Flow检测胎儿大脑中动脉M1段不同节段收缩期参数对子痫前期胎儿窘迫的预测价值
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河北医科大学第一医院

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The value of HD-Flow in predicting fetal distress in preeclampsia by detecting different systolic parameters of M1 segment of middle cerebral artery
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    摘要:

    探究高清晰度血流成像(HD-Flow)检测胎儿大脑中动脉(MCA)M1段不同节段收缩期参数对子痫前期(PE)胎儿窘迫(FD)的预测价值。方法:选取2019年6月~2023年6月在本院行HD-Flow检测的PE患者120例为研究对象,根据是否发生FD分为NFD组(n=64)和FD组(n=56),对比分析2组患者临床资料以及M1段远端和M1段近中1/3处收缩期参数。LASSO逻辑回归分析模型筛选发生FD的潜在因素,Logistic多因素回归分析影响FD发生的危险因素。构建发生FD的风险预测模型并验证。分析各指标对发生FD的预测能力。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线并计算曲线下面积(AUC)分析不同节段收缩期参数对发生FD的预测价值。结果:LASSO回归分析筛选出15个预测因子,Logistic分析结果显示,胎龄、宫内感染、妊娠期糖尿病、PCO2、M1段远端和近中1/3处的RI、PI、PSV和S/D均是发生FD的独立危险因素。构建发生FD风险预测模型,ROC曲线验证前后的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.801(95%CI:0.696~0.845)和0.785(95%CI:0.688~0.829),说明模型区分度好,准确度高。胎龄、宫内感染、妊娠期糖尿病和PCO2指标加入MCA中M1段远端和近中1/3处收缩期参数,预测能力最优。M1段远端RI、M1段近中1/3处RI和M1段近中1/3处S/D预测性能较高,M1段远端PI、PSV和S/D,以及M1段近中1/3处PI、PSV均具有一定的预测价值。结论:胎儿MCA中M1段不同节段收缩期参数均能在一定程度上预测FD的发生,其中M1段远端RI、M1段近中1/3处的RI和S/D预测性能较高,构建发生FD的风险预测模型,可用于临床上较准确地预测PE患者发生FD的风险,对其进行针对性干预防治

    Abstract:

    To explore the predictive value of high definition flow imaging (HD-Flow) in detecting different systolic parameters of M1 segment of the fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) for fetal distress (FD) in preeclampsia (PE). Methods: A total of 120 PE patients who underwent HD-Flow detection in our hospital from June 2019 to June 2023 were selected as the study objects. They were divided into NFD group (n=64) and FD group (n=56) according to whether FD occurred. The clinical data and systolic parameters of distal M1 segment and proximal 1/3 of M1 segment were compared between the two groups. LASSO logistic regression analysis model screened the potential factors of FD, multivariate Logistic regression analysis of the risk factors affecting the occurrence of FD. The risk prediction model of FD occurrence was constructed and verified. The predictive ability of each index to FD occurrence. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to analyze the predictive value of different systolic parameters for the occurrence of FD. Results: LASSO regression analysis screened out 15 predictors, and Logistic analysis results showed that, gestational age, intrauterine infection, gestational diabetes mellitus, PCO2, RI, PI, PSV and S/D at the distal and mesial 1/3 of M1 segment were independent risk factors for FD. Construct a FD risk prediction model, the area under the curve (AUC) before and after ROC curve verification were 0.801 (95%CI: 0.696~0.845) and 0.785 (95%CI: 0.688~0.829), respectively, indicating good model differentiation and high accuracy. Gestational age, intrauterine infection, gestational diabetes mellitus and PCO2 indexes were added to the systolic parameters at the distal and mesial 1/3 of M1 segment in MCA, and the prediction ability was the best. The prediction performance of RI at the far end of M1 and S/D at the near 1/3 of M1 is high, and the PI, PSV and S/D at the far end of M1 and the PI and PSV at the near 1/3 of M1 have certain prediction value. Conclusion: Systolic parameters of different M1 segments in fetal MCA can predict the occurrence of FD to a certain extent, and RI and S/D at the distal part of M1 segment and near 1/3 of M1 segment have high predictive performance. The establishment of a risk prediction model for FD can be used to accurately predict the risk of FD in PE patients and provide targeted intervention for prevention and treatment.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-11-10
  • 最后修改日期:2024-02-20
  • 录用日期:2024-08-19
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