中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值早期预测急性胆源性胰腺炎严重程度和胰腺坏死的价值
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苏州大学附属第一医院消化内科

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国家自然科学基金(81900508)


The early predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for the severity of acute biliary pancreatitis and pancreatic necrosis
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Department of Gastroenterology,The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University

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National Natural Science Foundation (81900508)

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    摘要:

    目的:评估中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio,NLR)预测急性胆源性胰腺炎(acute biliary pancreatitis,ABP)的严重程度和胰腺坏死(pancreatic necrosis,PN)的价值。方法:纳入290例ABP患者并在AP发作24 h内收集血液样本用于检测血常规及相关生化指标。通过受试者工作特性(receiver operating characteristic, ROC)曲线分析确定NLR预测重症急性胰腺炎(severe acute pancreatitis,SAP)和PN的最佳临界值。采用不同浓度牛磺胆酸钠溶液诱导大鼠ABP模型,并在造模后1、3、5、7、14 d收集血液样本和胰腺组织样本,比较各组的NLR。结果:ROC曲线分析显示NLR对SAP具有预测性能[曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC):0.823,标准误(Standard error,SE):0.056,95%可信区间(confidence interval,CI):0.713-0.934,p<0.001],最佳临界值为13.38(灵敏度:80.0%;特异度:83.2%)。NLR对于PN也有较好的预测价值,AUC为0.910(SE:0.025,95%CI:0.861-0.958,p<0.001),诊断的最佳临界值为9.265(灵敏度:97.1%;特异度:72.7%)。在大鼠ABP模型中,NLR在AP发病早期即可出现升高,并与AP和PN严重程度相关。结论:ABP发病后的24h内,NLR可以作为早期预测其严重程度及胰腺坏死的有力指标。

    Abstract:

    Objective: The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been proposed as an inexpensive and widely available marker in many diseases. In this study, we aimed to assess the value of NLR to predict the severity and pancreatic necrosis (PN) in acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP). Methods: 290 patients with ABP were enrolled in this study. The blood samples were collected within 24 hours after AP onset. The optimal cut-off value for NLR to predict severe AP (SAP) and PN was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. ABP model was induced by taurocholic acid sodium in rats. The blood samples and pancreatic tissue samples were collected and we compared NLR in different time points and concentration of taurocholic acid sodium. Results: The area under the ROC curve showed NLR had a predictive performance for SAP (AUC: 0.944, SE: 0.015, 95% CI: 0.915-0.973, p<0.001). The optimal cut-off from ROC curve was 13.38 (sensitivity: 80.0%; specificity: 83.2%). For the prediction of PN, the AUC of NLR was 0.910 (SE: 0.025, 95% CI: 0.861-0.958, p<0.001). The cut-off value of NLR was 9.265 (sensitivity: 97.1%; specificity: 72.7%). In taurocholic acid sodium-induced ABP in rats, the NLR increased significantly and peaked earlier than PN. The NLR was observed to increase along with the increase of the extent of PN. Conclusion: NLR at the initial stage (within 24h after the onset) may serve as a powerful marker for early predicting severity and PN in ABP.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-11-14
  • 最后修改日期:2024-10-11
  • 录用日期:2024-12-05
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