早孕期血清同型半胱氨酸、25-羟维生素D联合子宫动脉血流参数对子痫前期的预测价值
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徐州医科大学附属连云港医院(连云港市第一人民医院)

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] 江苏省妇幼健康科研项目(F202140);连云港市妇幼健康科研项目(F202316) 通信作者(Corresponding author),E-mail:doctorzhoutt@163.com


Predictive value of serum homocysteine and 25-hydroxy vitamin D combined with uterine artery blood flow parameters for preeclampsia during early pregnancy
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1.The Affiliated Lianyungang Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University /The First People'2.'3.s Hospital of Lianyungang

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    摘要:

    目的 探讨早孕期血清同型半胱氨酸(homocysteine,Hcy)、25-羟维生素D(25-hydroxy vitamin D,25-OHD)联合子宫动脉血流参数对子痫前期(preeclampsia,PE)的预测价值。方法 本研究为前瞻性队列研究。纳入2021年11月至2023年5月于连云港市第一人民医院产前检查并分娩的2200例孕妇,于孕11~13周+6常规产前检查时检测血清Hcy、25-OHD水平,同时超声检测子宫动脉血流参数——收缩期峰值血流速度/舒张期峰值血流速度(peak systolic velocity /end diastolic velocity,S/D)、搏动指数(pulsatility index,PI)和阻力指数(resistance index,RI)。根据孕20周后是否发生PE,分为PE组(141例)和对照组(2059例)。采用两独立样本t检验和χ2检验比较2组孕妇的一般临床资料、Hcy、25-OHD及子宫动脉血流参数,采用多因素logistic回归分析PE的独立危险因素;采用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线分析各项指标及联合指标对PE的预测价值;采用R软件构建PE风险列线图预测模型,校正曲线对列线图预测模型进行内部验证。结果 PE组血清Hcy水平[(8.39±1.22)与(6.07±1.34) μmol/L,t=15.03]、S/D(5.22±2.03与3.19±1.64,t=7.93)、PI(2.34±0.94与1.31±0.69,t=8.65)和RI(1.81±0.44与0.67±0.30,t=9.26)均高于对照组,25-OHD水平低于对照组[(17.76±3.18)与(24.76±5.08)μg/L,t=?16.97](P值均<0.001)。多因素logistic回归分析显示,Hcy(OR=2.58,95%CI:2.03~3.27)、S/D(OR=1.56,95%CI:1.33~1.84)、PI(OR=2.06,95%CI:1.45~2.94)和RI(OR=2.97,95%CI:1.68~5.24)均是子痫前期的独立危险因素,而25-OHD是独立保护因素(OR=0.80,95%CI:0.72~0.88)。ROC曲线分析显示,血清Hcy、25-OHD、S/D、PI和RI界值分别为6.65μmol/L、23.43 μg/L、2.93、1.26和0.85时,预测PE的灵敏度分别为0.908、0.699、0.752、0.844和0.589,特异度分别为0.783、0.915、0.574、0.578和0.891;上述指标联合预测效能更佳,曲线下面积为0.967(95%CI:0.956~0.979),灵敏度为0.969,特异度为0.865。内部验证显示,列线图预测模型的校正曲线与原始曲线及理想曲线接近,一致性指数为0.966(95%CI:0.656~0.993),模型拟合度高。结论 基于早孕期血清Hcy、25-OHD以及子宫动脉血流参数S/D、PI、RI构建的PE风险列线图对PE具有较好的预测价值,可为临床早期筛查或预测PE提供参考。

    Abstract:

    ObjectiveTo explore the predictive value of serum homocysteine (Hcy), 25-hydroxy vitamin D (25-OHD), and uterine artery blood flow parameters for preeclampsia (PE) during early pregnancy. Methods In this prospective cohort study, 2 200 pregnant women who underwent prenatal examinations and delivered at the First People"s Hospital of Lianyungang between November 2021 and May 2023 were included. Serum Hcy and 25-OHD levels were measured during the regular prenatal examination at 11-13+6 weeks of gestation, along with ultrasound assessment of uterine artery blood flow parameters, such as peak systolic velocity/end diastolic velocity (S/D), pulsatility index (PI), and resistance index (RI). These participants were categorized into PE group (141 cases) and control group (2 059 cases) according to whether developed PE by the 20th week of gestation. Two independent sample t-test and Chi-square test were used to compare the general clinical data, Hcy, 25-OHD, and uterine artery blood flow parameters between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was employed to identify independent risk factors for PE. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive value of the markers used along or in combination for PE. A PE risk nomogram was developed using R software, with calibration curves internally validating the nomogram prediction model. Results Serum Hcy levels [(8.39±1.22) vs. (6.07±1.34) μmol/L, t=15.03], S/D (5.22±2.03 vs. 3.19±1.64; t=7.93), PI (2.34±0.94 vs. 1.31±0.69, t=8.65), and RI (1.81±0.44 vs. 0.67±0.30, t=9.26) were higher in the PE group than in the control group, whereas the levels of 25-OHD were lower [(17.76±3.18) vs. (24.76±5.08) μg/L, t=﹣16.97] (all P<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that Hcy (OR=2.58, 95%CI: 2.03-3.27), S/D (OR=1.56, 95%CI: 1.33-1.84), PI (OR=2.06, 95%CI: 1.45-2.94) and RI (OR=2.97, 95%CI: 1.68-5.24) were independent risk factors for PE, while 25-OHD was an independent protective factor (OR=0.80, 95%CI: 0.72-0.88). ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal cut-off values for predicting PE were 6.65 μmol/L for Hcy, 23.43 μg/L for 25-OHD, 2.93 for S/D, 1.26 for PI, and 0.85 for RI, with the sensitivity of 0.908, 0.699, 0.752, 0.844, and 0.589, respectively, and the specificity of 0.783, 0.915, 0.574, 0.578, and 0.891, respectively. The performance of these markers used in combination for predicting PE was superior, with an area under the curve of 0.967 (95%CI: 0.956-0.979), the sensitivity of 0.969, and the specificity of 0.865. Internal validation showed that the calibration curve of the nomogram approximated the original curve and the ideal curve, with a concordance index of 0.966 (95%CI: 0.656-0.993), suggesting a high model fit. Conclusion The PE risk nomogram constructed based on serum Hcy, 25-OHD, and the uterine artery blood flow parameters S/D, PI, and RI in early pregnancy provides good predictive value for PE and can offer guidance for early clinical screening or prediction of PE.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-05-10
  • 最后修改日期:2024-06-16
  • 录用日期:2024-09-10
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