外侧象限乳腺癌腋窝淋巴结转移超声特征的鉴定及列线图模型的构建
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1.无锡市锡山人民医院超声科;2.无锡市锡山人民医院普外科;3.江南大学附属无锡五院超声科;4.无锡市锡山人民医院皮肤科;5.无锡市锡山人民医院

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国家自然科学基金青年项目(82302562)


Characteristics of axillary lymph node metastasis in lateral quadrant breast cancer and construction of a nomogram model based on ultrasonographic Analysis
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1.Department of Ultrasound,Xishan People’s Hospital of Wuxi City,Wuxi;2.Xishan People'3.'4.s hospital of Wuxi City

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    目的:回顾性分析外侧象限乳腺癌患者腋窝淋巴结转移的超声特征,并构建列线图模型,为临床更好评估外侧象限乳腺癌患者腋窝淋巴结转移提供影像学依据。 方法:回顾性分析既往我院就诊经病理证实的乳腺癌患者腋窝淋巴结及原发肿瘤的超声影像学特征。采用单变量和多变量logistic回归分析,鉴定淋巴结转移的危险因素,并构建列线图预测模型,预测腋窝淋巴结的转移。P<0.05提示差异具有统计学意义。 结果:127例乳腺癌患者纳入研究队列,腋窝淋巴结转移为阳性组(54例);腋窝淋巴结未转移为阴性组(73例)。多因素logistic回归分析显示,肿瘤针状边缘(OR=4.16 ,95%CI:1.25 - 13.79,p=0.020)和淋巴门结构不清晰(OR=19.20 ,95%CI:1.98-186.36,p=0.011)是腋窝淋巴结转移的独立危险因素。据此,构建预测外侧象限乳腺癌腋窝淋巴结转移的列线图模型。受试者特征曲线(Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve,ROC)显示,训练集的曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)为0.74(0.62-0.86),验证集为0.73(0.62-0.84)。训练集和验证集的Hosmer-Lemeshow检验分别为p=0.570和p=0.552。 结论:超声有助于术前乳腺癌腋窝淋巴结转移的评估;基于logistic回归构建的预测列线图模型具有安全、可靠和高度实用性。

    Abstract:

    Objective: A nomogram model is developed based on ultrasound features to provide imaging evidence for enhanced clinical assessment of axillary lymph node metastasis in patients with lateral quadrant breast cancer. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed ultrasonographic features of axillary lymph nodes and primary tumors, which were confirmed by pathology, in patients diagnosed with breast adenocarcinoma. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for lymph node metastasis, and a nomogram model was constructed to assess the presence of axillary lymph node metastasis. P value less than 0.05 indicated statistically significant differences. Results: The study cohort comprised 127 patients with breast cancer, of which 54 cases were classified as positive group for axillary lymph node metastasis and 73 cases were classified as negative group for without axillary lymph node metastasis. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that tumor spiculated margins (OR=4.16, 95% CI: 1.25-13.79, p=0.020) and unclear lymphatic gate structure (OR=19.20, 95% CI: 1.98-186.36, p=0.011) independently contributed to the risk of axillary lymph node metastasis in lateral quadrant breast cancer patients. Furthermore, a nomogram model was developed to predict axillary lymph node metastasis in lateral quadrant breast cancer cases. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) demonstrated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.74 (0.62-0.86 ) for the training set and an AUC of 0.73(0.62-0.84 )for the validation set. Hosmer-Lemeshow test results indicated no significant deviation from goodness-of-fit for both the training set and validation set with p-values of p = 0 .570 and p = 0.552 respectively. Conclusion: Ultrasound plays a valuable role in the assessment of axillary lymph node metastasis in preoperative lateral quadrant breast cancer. Our logistic regression-based nomogram model is both secure and dependable, making it an exceedingly practical tool.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-07-11
  • 最后修改日期:2024-11-16
  • 录用日期:2024-12-25
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