肾脏慢性病变评分在糖尿病肾脏病患者预后评估中的价值
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南京医科大学第一附属医院肾内科

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北京融和医学发展基金会


Significance of the total renal chronicity score in predicting renal and cardical outcome in patients with diabetic kidney disease
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Department of Nephrology,the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University

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Beijing RongHe Medical Development Foundation

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    摘要:

    目的:探讨慢性病变评分在糖尿病肾脏疾病(DKD)患者预后评估中的应用价值,并与传统的DKD RPS病理分级进行比较。方法:对2014年1月至2020年9月期间在南京医科大学第一附属医院肾内科住院并行肾穿刺活检病理确诊为DKD的129例患者进行回顾性分析。根据慢性病变评分将患者分为轻微组(n=34)、轻度组(n=50)和中、重度组(n=45),比较各组患者的临床资料及病理指标,并与DKD RPS病理分级进行比较。采用Cox、logistic回归分析肾脏不良预后的影响因素,Kaplan-Meier生存曲线比较无肾脏终点事件、复合心血管事件累积生存率,并通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析慢性病变评分及其与估算的肾小球滤过率、24h尿蛋白联合在肾脏预后评估中的诊断价值。结果:慢性病变评分较高的患者患者肾功能更差、贫血更明显,DKD RPS病理分级更高。Kaplan-Meier生存曲线显示,慢性病变评分较高的患者无肾脏终点事件累积生存率显著降低,预后更差(P<0.05)。Cox回归分析显示,高慢性病变评分是肾脏终点事件的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析显示,慢性病变评分的诊断价值略低于DKD RPS病理分级(AUC=0.651 vs. 0.875),但两者之间无统计学差异。联合eGFR和24h尿蛋白后,慢性病变评分的AUC值增加至0.810。结论:DKD患者的高慢性病变评分与更显著的肾功能损害相关,是肾脏不良预后的独立危险因素,联合临床指标(如eGFR和24h尿蛋白)能显著提高预后评估的准确性。

    Abstract:

    Objective: This study aimed to explore the prognostic value of the chronicity score in patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD) patients and compare it with the traditional DKD RPS pathological classification. Methods: The clinical data and pathological examination results of 129 patients, who were hospitalized in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University and pathologically diagnosed with DKD by renal biopsy from January 2014 and September 2020,were retrospectively analyzed in this study. Based on the renal chronicity score, patients were divided into three groups: mild (n=34), moderate (n=50), and severe (n=45). The clinical characteristics and pathological indicators of each group were compared, and the results were evaluated against the DKD RPS pathological classification. Cox regression analysis was used to identify factors influencing poor renal outcomes, Kaplan-Meier survival curves were employed to compare cumulative renal event-free survival rates, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to assess the diagnostic value of the chronicity score alone and in combination with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and 24-hour urinary protein in predicting renal outcomes. Results: Patients with higher chronic lesion scores exhibited worse renal function,more pronounced anemia, and a higher pathological grade according to the DKD RPS classification. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that patients with higher chronic lesion scores had significantly lower cumulative survival rates without renal endpoint events, indicating poorer prognosis (P<0.05). Cox regression analysis identified a high chronic lesion score as an independent risk factor for renal endpoint events (P<0.05). The ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the diagnostic value of the chronic lesion score was slightly lower than that of the DKD RPS pathological grade (AUC=0.651 vs. 0.875), though no statistical difference was observed between the two. When combined with eGFR and 24-hour urinary protein, the AUC value of the chronic lesion score increased to 0.810.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-05
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-16
  • 录用日期:2025-05-19
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