D-二聚体新阈值对剖宫产术后肺栓塞的预测意义
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南京医科大学附属妇产医院南京市妇幼保健院产科 江苏 南京 210004

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国家自然科学基金项目(编号81501252)* 通信作者(Corresponding author)周雪,E-mail: maggiezhouxue840@163.com. (ORCID:0009-0007-8916-8254) D-二聚体新阈值对剖宫产术后肺栓塞


New cutoff values of D-Dimer for Predicting Pulmonary Thromboembolism after Cesarean Section
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Department of Obstetrics,Women’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University Nanjing Women and Children’s Healthcare Hospital,Nanjing,210004

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The National Natural Science Foundation of China(Youth Fund)

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    摘要:

    目的:该研究旨在初步探究剖宫产术后D-二聚体的新阈值,以便该参数可用作剖宫产术后肺栓塞的预测因子。方法:本研究为回顾性病例-对照研究,选取2018年1月1日至2024年12月31日期间在南京医科大学附属妇产医院分娩的疑似PE的剖宫产术后女性共198例,其中,33例女性经CTPA最终诊断为PE为研究组,165例女性经CTPA排除PE为对照组。分析两组患者的年龄、体质指数(BMI)、分娩孕周、胎儿数量、手术指征、产后静脉血栓栓塞症的危险因素、术后24小时以内D-二聚体浓度值及抗凝启动时间等。绘制D-二聚体的受试者工作特征曲线(ROC) 以确定D-二聚体值的最佳敏感性和特异性,曲线下面积(AUC)用于评价临界值。分析PE的危险因素,计算比值比(OR)与95%置信区间。结果:PE组D-二聚体水平为 (8.98±6.91) mg/L,显著高于非PE组(4.03±2.08)mg/L,两组比较差异有统计学意义(P <0.05),表明D-二聚体是PE的强预测指标,临床中可优先关注。PE组术后启动抗凝的时间晚于非PE组,差异有统计学差异, 提示临床治疗中在不出血的前提下尽早启动抗凝治疗对于预防剖宫产术后PE的发生有重要意义。剖宫产术后24小时内D-二聚体水平的最佳截断值为7.48mg/L,特异性为93.9%,敏感性为62.4%,曲线下面积(AUC)为0.75(95% CI 为 0.652 ~ 0.848, P = 0.000),对PE有显著的诊断价值,可作为启动抗凝及积极排查PE的重要指标;而当D-二聚体截断值调整为1.59mg/L时,其敏感性和特异性分别为100%和43.2%,在阴性预测值中尤登指数最高,该值的确定对剖宫产术后PE的早期排查可能有重要意义。长时间制动和D-二聚体水平是PE的两个独立危险因素,其中D-二聚体水平是PE的连续风险因素(OR = 1.58),D-二聚体每增加1 mg/L,PE风险增加58%。结论:该研究通过对剖宫产术后24小时内的D-二聚体阈值的初步探索, 以期寻求一种更为便捷、安全的筛查方法提高剖宫产术后PE的识别度,从而促进及时干预并减少不必要的成像检查。

    Abstract:

    Objective: The present study aimed to explore the D-Dimer cutoff values for predicting Pulmonary Thromboembolism after Cesarean Section. Methods: This study recruited 198 women after cesarean section with suspected PE symptoms in Women’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2018 to December 2024. Among them, 33 patients who were diagnosed as PE by CTPA were divided intthe study group, and the 165 patients who were not diagnosed as PE by CTPA during the same period were divided into the control group. Analyze the age, Body Mass Index (BMI), gestational age at delivery (weeks),number of fetuses, surgical indications, risk factors for VTE after delivery, D-dimer (mg/L) within postpartum 24 hours and the time of using LMWH after cesarean section. Draw the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) of D-dimer to determine the optimal sensitivity and specificity of the D-dimer value, with the area under the curve (AUC) used to evaluate the cut-off value. Analyze the risk factors for PE and calculate the odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval. Result: The D-dimer level in the PE group was (8.98 ± 6.91) mg/L, significantly higher than that in the non-PE group (4.03 ± 2.08) mg/L (P < 0.05), indicating that D-dimer is a strong predictor of PE and should be prioritized in clinical practice. The initiation of anticoagulation therapy in the PE group was delayed compared to the non-PE group, with a statistically significant difference, suggesting that early anticoagulation—when bleeding risk is low—plays a crucial role in preventing PE after cesarean delivery. The optimal cut-off value of D-dimer within 24 hours post-cesarean was 7.48 mg/L, with a specificity of 93.9% and sensitivity of 62.4%. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.652–0.848, P = 0.000), demonstrating significant diagnostic value for PE. When the D-dimer cut-off was adjusted to 1.59 mg/L, the sensitivity and specificity were 100% and 43.2%, respectively, with the highest Youden index for negative predictive value. This threshold may be particularly meaningful for early PE screening after cesarean delivery. Prolonged immobilization and D-dimer levels were identified as two independent risk factors for PE. Notably, D-dimer was a continuous risk factor (OR = 1.58), meaning that for every 1 mg/L increase in D-dimer, the risk of PE increased by 58%. Conclusion: This study conducted a preliminary exploration of the D-dimer cut-off value at 24 hours after cesarean delivery, aiming to establish a more convenient and safer screening method to improve the identification of postoperative PE. This approach could facilitate timely intervention and reduce unnecessary imaging examinations.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-07-14
  • 最后修改日期:2025-10-09
  • 录用日期:2025-11-27
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