发热伴血小板减少综合征患者脏器损伤特征研究
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1.无锡市第二人民医院;2.南京医科大学第一附属医院

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Characteristics of organ injury in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome
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    摘要:

    背景:发热伴血小板减少综合征(severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome, SFTS)发病率逐年上升而死亡率仍居高不下,脏器损伤可能是导致不良结局的潜在因素,本研究旨在对SFTS患者脏器损伤特征进行总结。方法:回顾性收集2023年1月至2024年12月期间于南京医科大学第一附属医院(江苏省人民医院)就诊并收住入院的SFTS患者,统计住院期间并发脏器损伤情况,并通过logistic回归分析探讨脏器损伤与预后相关性,最终构建基于SFTS患者脏器损伤评估的出院转归预测列线图。结果:共纳入284例SFTS患者,共有252 (88.7%) 例SFTS患者合并脏器损伤,其中,心脏是最常累及的脏器,多因素logistic回归分析结果示胰腺(OR=3.17, 95%CI: 1.28-8.00, P=0.012)、肾(OR=8.64, 95%CI: 3.54-22.29, P<0.001)、肺(OR=4.82, 95%CI: 2.01-11.98, P<0.001)和脑损伤(OR=3.25, 95%CI: 1.34-7.90, P=0.009)可独立增加SFTS患者死亡风险。构建基于SFTS患者脏器损伤评估的出院转归预测列线图可准确预测患者出院转归,Bootstrap抽样1000次行内部验证显示平均ROC曲线下面积为0.937 (95%CI: 0.910-0.965)。结论:SFTS患者大多合并脏器损伤,其中胰腺、肾、肺和脑损伤增加SFTS患者死亡风险。

    Abstract:

    Background: The incidence of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) has been steadily increasing over the years, accompanied by a persistently high mortality rate. Organ injury may serve as a potential contributor to poor clinical outcomes. This study aimed to summarize the characteristics and patterns of organ injury in patients diagnosed with SFTS. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients with SFTS admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University (Jiangsu Provincial Hospital) between January 2023 and December 2024. During hospitalization, concurrent organ injuries were recorded and statistically analyzed. Logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between organ injury and prognosis. Furthermore, a nomogram was developed to predict discharge outcomes based on organ injury assessment in SFTS patients. Results: A total of 284 SFTS patients were enrolled in this study, among whom 252 (88.7%) exhibited signs of organ injury. Cardiac injury was most commonly observed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that pancreatic injury (OR=3.17, 95%CI: 1.28-8.00, P=0.012), renal injury (OR=8.64, 95%CI: 3.54-22.29, P<0.001), pulmonary injury (OR=4.82, 95%CI: 2.01-11.98, P<0.001), and cerebral injury (OR=3.25, 95%CI: 1.34-7.90, P=0.009) were independently associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality in SFTS patients. The constructed nomogram demonstrated strong predictive performance for discharge outcomes. Internal validation using the bootstrap method (resampling=1000) showed an average area under the ROC curve of 0.937 (95%CI: 0.910-0.965). Conclusion: The majority of SFTS patients experienced concurrent organ injuries. Among these, pancreatic, renal, pulmonary, and cerebral injuries were significantly associated with increased mortality risk.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-08-12
  • 最后修改日期:2025-11-10
  • 录用日期:2025-12-01
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