胆道闭锁Kasai术后早期非自体肝生存相关因素分析
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1 作者单位:南京医科大学附属儿童医院新生儿外科

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南京市科技发展项目(201723006)


Associated factors with early non-native liver survival for Biliary atresiaHuan Chen1, Qiming Geng, Wei Li, Changgui Lu 1*
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    摘要:

    目的:总结胆道闭锁Kasai术后自体肝生存状况,分析Kasai术后早期死亡或者需肝移植的相关因素。 方法:收集2020年5月~2024年5月在南京医科大学附属儿童医院接受Kasai手术的III型胆道闭锁的临床资料,Kaplan-Meier生存分析法总结胆道闭锁Kasai术后1年自体肝生存特点,通过单因素和多因素Cox回归模型分析寻找Kasai术后早期死亡或者需要肝移植的相关因素。 结果:2020年5月~2024年5月共有114例III型胆道闭锁接受Kasai手术,9例术后失访,剩余105例纳入研究,随访期12~60月,中位随访时间33个月,41例死亡或者已进行肝移植,其中术后第1年内即死亡或者进行肝移植35例,占总死亡或者肝移植人数的85.4%;Kaplan-Meier生存曲线估计Kasai术后平均自体肝生存时间38.4+2.51月,1年实际自体肝生存率66.7%,2年估计自体肝累积生存率为59.6%,估计3-5年内累积生存率与2年累积生存率一致。单因素和多因素Cox回归模型发现术前超声肝脏硬度(Liver stiffness measurement, LSM)和术后3月内未能达到黄疸清除是Kasai术后死亡或者肝移植的独立相关因素(HR[95%CI]=1.031[1.001,1.064], p=0.049;HR[95%CI]=6.394[3.141,13.015], p<0.001)。66/105(62.9%)例术后3月内发生胆管炎,其中术后一月内发生胆管炎18/66(27.27%)例,术后一月内发生胆管炎患儿术后3月黄疸清除率低于术后1月后发生胆管炎患儿(50.0% vs 77.1%,χ2=4.546,p=0.031)。 结论: Kasai手术后死亡或者肝移植多发生在术后1年内,术后2年可达到自体生存稳定状态;术前超声LSM及术后退黄时间是与胆道闭锁患儿术后自体肝生存相关的独立因素,术前LSM高于11.6KPa,Metavir预分级F2以上、黄疸清除时间大于3个月,自体肝生存明显降低; Kasai术后1月内发生胆管炎会降低Kasai术后3月的黄疸清除率。

    Abstract:

    Objective: To summarize the status of native liver survival (NLS) in the early stage after Kasai procedure in patients with biliary atresia and to analyze the factors associated with postoperative death or liver transplantation. Methods: From May 2020 to May 2024, 114 cases of biliary atresia underwent Kasai surgery in Children’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University. Nine cases were lost to follow-up, leaving 105 cases included in the study, with a follow-up period ranging from 12 to 60 months. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to summarize the characteristics of NLS after Kasai surgery, and univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were employed to identify associated factors for postoperative death or liver transplantation. Results: As of May 2025, 105 patients were followed up for 12 to 60 months, with a median follow-up time of 33 months. Among these, 41 cases died or underwent liver transplantation, resulting in a total NLS rate of 61.0%. Of these, 35 cases died or underwent liver transplantation within the first year after the Kasai procedure, accounting for 85.4% of all deaths or liver transplants. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve estimated an average NLS time of 38.4±2.51 months after Kasai surgery, with an actual NLS rate of 66.7% and an estimated 2-year cumulative NLS rate of 59.6%. The estimated 3-5 year cumulative survival rate was consistent with the 2-year cumulative survival rate. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models revealed that the preoperative Liver stiffness measured by ultrasound(LSM) and a jaundice clearance time exceeding 3 months postoperatively are two independent associated factors with death or liver transplantation after the Kasai procedure (HR[95%CI]=1.031[1.001,1.064],p=0.049; HR[95%CI]=6.394[3.141,13.015], p<0.001). Among the 105 patients, 66 (62.9%) developed cholangitis within 3 months postoperatively, with 18 (27.27%) developing postoperative cholangitis within the first month. The jaundice clearance rate in patients who developed cholangitis within the first month was lower than in those who did not (50.0% vs 77.1%, χ2=4.546, p=0.031). Conclusion: Most deaths or liver transplants occur within the first year after Kasai, and stable NLS is typically achieved by the second year post-Kasai. The preoperative LSM and postoperative time to jaundice clearance are independent associated factors for postoperative non-NLS in children with biliary atresia. The preoperative LSM was higher than 11.6KPa, and the jaundice clearance time was greater than 3 months would significantly reduce the rate of early NLS. Postoperative cholangitis within the first month after Kasai surgery can reduce the jaundice clearance rate within three months post-surgery.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-12-15
  • 最后修改日期:2026-01-23
  • 录用日期:2026-03-04
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