南京市雨花台区宫颈癌筛查效能年龄分层研究
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1.南京市雨花台区妇幼保健所;2.南京医科大学附属妇产医院/南京市妇幼保健院;3.南京大学医学院附属鼓楼医院

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国家自然科学基金(72204123)


Age-Stratified Analysis of Cervical Cancer Screening Effectiveness in Yuhuatai District, Nanjing
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1.Department of Women’s Health Care, Yuhuatai District Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital;2.Women’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University (Nanjing Women and Children’s Healthcare Hospital);3.Drum Tower Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University Medical School(Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital)

Fund Project:

National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 72204123)

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    摘要:

    目的: 探讨女性高危型人乳头瘤病毒 (Human papillomavirus, HPV)感染年龄分层特征,比较三种筛查方案在不同年龄组对宫颈癌及癌前病变检出效能的差异,为优化宫颈癌筛查策略提供依据。 方法: 回顾性分析2023-2024年南京“两癌”筛查项目中22 540例35-64岁女性宫颈癌筛查数据,以平均绝经年龄50岁为界,分为35-49 岁组(11 539 人)和 50-64 岁组(11 001 人),比较hrHPV 16/18阳性率、宫颈上皮内瘤变2级(cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2,CIN2)及以上病变(简称CIN2+)的检出率差异。按筛查方案分三组:液基细胞学检测(ThinPrep cytologic test,TCT)初筛、hrHPV初筛、HPV与TCT联合筛查(简称“联合筛查”),比较三种筛查方案的CIN2+检出率,并按年龄分层进一步分析。采用卡方检验比较组间阳性率及检出率差异,若组间差异有统计学意义,采用Bonferroni 法校正检验水准(α’=0.016 7)进行两两比较。进一步通过 Logistic 回归分析校正混杂因素,评价不同方案年龄分层后的筛查效能差异。结果: 按年龄分层比较,50-64岁组hrHPV 16/18阳性率显著高于35-49岁组(2.1% vs. 1.6%,χ2=4.672,P=0.031),两个年龄组CIN2+检出率差异无统计学意义(0.4% vs. 0.5%,χ2=0.210,P=0.647)。三种筛查方案 CIN2 + 检出率比较差异有统计学意义 (χ2=20.999, P<0.001),经 Bonferroni 校正后两两比较,HPV 初筛和联合筛查的 CIN2 + 检出率均显著高于 TCT 初筛 (校正后P均 < 0.001,P<α’),HPV 初筛与联合筛查间 CIN2 + 检出率无统计学差异 (校正后P=0.229,P>α’)。年龄分层后:35-49岁组,联合筛查CIN2+检出率显著高于HPV初筛(0.9% vs. 0.5%,χ2=4.372,P=0.037); 而50-64岁组,两种方案CIN2+检出率无差异(0.6% vs. 0.4%,χ2=0.536,P=0.464)。经多因素logistic回归校正后,上述年龄分层结果保持一致。结论: 35-49岁女性推荐联合筛查以提高宫颈癌及癌前病变的检出率, 而50-64岁女性可优先选择HPV初筛。年龄分层策略有助于提高宫颈癌筛查精准性及资源利用效率。

    Abstract:

    Objective: To investigate the age-stratified characteristics of high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) infection in women and compare the detection efficacy of three screening protocols in detecting cervical cancer and precancerous lesions across different age groups, to provide a basis for optimizing cervical cancer screening strategies. Methods:? A retrospective analysis was conducted on cervical cancer screening data from 22,540 women aged 35–64 years enrolled in Nanjing’s cervical and breast cancer screening program from 2023 to 2024. Participants were divided into two age groups using the average menopausal age of 50 years as the cut-off: 35–49 years (n=11,539) and 50–64 years (n=11,001). The positive rates of hrHPV 16/18 and the detection rates of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) were compared between the two age groups. Three screening protocols were compared: ThinPrep cytologic test (TCT)-based initial screening, hrHPV-based initial screening, and combined HPV and TCT initial screening (referred to as "combined screening"). The CIN2+ detection rates were compared among the three protocols followed by further age-stratified analysis. The chi-square test was used to compare positive rates and detection rates between groups, and Bonferroni correction (α’=0.016 7) was used for pairwise comparisons if there was a statistically significant difference, with further age-stratified analysis. Logistic regression analysis was applied to adjust for confounding factors and evaluate the differences in screening effectiveness after age stratification. Results:? Age-stratified comparison showed that the positive rate of hrHPV 16/18 was significantly higher in the 50–64 age group than in the 35–49 age group (2.1% vs. 1.6%, χ2=4.672, P=0.031), while there was no statistically significant difference in the CIN2+ detection rate between the two age groups (0.4% vs. 0.5%, χ2=0.210, P=0.647). There was a statistically significant difference in the CIN2+ detection rate among the three screening protocols (χ2=20.999, P<0.001). After Bonferroni correction, pairwise comparisons indicated that both combined screening and HPV initial screening had significantly higher CIN2+ detection rates than TCT initial screening (corrected P< 0.001 for both, P<α’), and there was no statistically significant difference between HPV initial screening and combined screening (corrected P=0.229, P>α’). After age stratification, in the 35–49 age group, the CIN2+ detection rate of combined screening was higher than that of HPV initial screening (0.9% vs. 0.5%, χ2=4.372, P=0.037), whereas in the 50–64 age group, there was no significant difference in the CIN2+ detection rates between the two protocols (0.6% vs. 0.4%, χ2=0.536, P=0.464). The aforementioned age-stratified results were consistent after multivariate logistic regression adjustment. Conclusion:? Combined screening is recommended for women aged 35–49 to improve the detection rate of cervical cancer and precancerous lesions, while HPV initial screening may be prioritized for women aged 50–64. An age-stratified screening strategy can enhance the precision of cervical cancer screening and improve resource utilization efficiency.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-12-20
  • 最后修改日期:2026-04-15
  • 录用日期:2026-10-10
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