实验室检验指标对成人体外心肺复苏患者死亡风险的预测价值
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南京医科大学第一附属医院急诊与危重症医学科,江苏 南京 210029

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R541.7

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江苏省医学重点学科[苏卫科教(2022)17号];医院急诊管理专项研究(JSYGY-2-2021-JZ38)


Value of laboratory test indicators for predicting death risk in extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation patients
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Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine,the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University,Nanjing 210029 ,China

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    摘要:

    目的:探讨体外心肺复苏(extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation,ECPR)支持前实验室检验指标对ECPR患者 30 d死亡风险的预测价值。方法:回顾性分析2018年1月—2023年12月南京医科大学第一附属医院急诊与危重症医学科行 ECPR转机>24 h的113例患者。根据患者30 d的存活情况分为死亡组(n=69)和生存组(n=44),采用单因素分析和Kaplan-Meier 分析两组患者ECPR上机前实验室检验指标,将差异有统计学意义及临床意义的指标进行多因素Cox比例风险回归分析,绘制受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线,并计算ROC曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)。结果:多因素 Cox分析显示,ECPR患者30 d死亡相关的风险因素包括乳酸[HR(95%CI):1.318(1.185~1.467),P < 0.05]、二氧化碳分压(partial pressure of carbon dioxide,PaCO2)[HR(95%CI):1.008(1.001~1.013),P < 0.05]、钠[HR(95%CI):1.068(1.022~1.116),P < 0.05]、 肌酐[HR(95%CI):1.003(1.001~1.004),P < 0.05]、活化部分凝血活酶时间(activated partial thromboplastin time,APTT) [HR(95%CI):1.001(1.001~1.002),P < 0.05]。而酸碱度(pH)[HR(95%CI):0.161(0.027~0.961),P < 0.05]、纤维蛋白原 (fibrinogen,FIB)[HR(95%CI):0.823(0.688~0.986),P < 0.05]可能具有潜在的保护作用。结论:ECPR患者30 d死亡相关的风险因素主要包括乳酸、PaCO2、Na、肌酐、APTT,而pH、FIB可能具有潜在的保护作用。

    Abstract:

    Objective:To investigate the predictive efficacy of laboratory indexes for the 30 - day risk of death in extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation(ECPR)patients prior to receiving support. Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed on 113 patients who received ECPR transfer for more than 24 hours at the Emergency and Critical Care Medicine Department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University between January 2018 and December 2023. The patients were categorized into two groups based on their 30-day survival rate:the survival group(n=44)and the death group(n=69). The laboratory test indicators before ECPR enrollment were examined using univariate analysis and Kaplan -Meier analysis for each of these groups. Cox’s proportional hazards regression model was used in multivariate analysis to examine the laboratory test markers that showed statistically and clinically significant differences. Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were used to plot the subject characteristics,and the area under the ROC curvewas calculated. Results:According to the multifactorial Cox analysis,lactate[HR(95%CI):1.318(1.185- 1.467),P < 0.05],PaCO[2 HR(95%CI):1.008(1.001-1.013),P < 0.05],Na[HR(95%CI):1.068(1.022-1.116),P < 0.05], creatinine[HR(95%CI):1.003(1.001-1.004),P < 0.05]and activated partial thromboplastin time(APTT)[HR(95%CI):1.001 (1.001-1.002),P < 0.05]were among the risks associated with 30-day mortality in ECPR patients. Moreover,there may be preventive benefits for pH[HR(95%CI):0.161(0.027-0.961),P < 0.05]and fibrinogen(FIB)[HR(95%CI):0.823(0.688-0.986),P < 0.05]. Conclusion:In patients receiving ECPR,the primary risk factors linked to 30-day death are lactate,PaCO2,Na,creatinine,and APTT,while pH and FIB may have a potential protective role.

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高永霞,王爱鹏,张晴,郭一言,蒋楠茜,朱轶,梅勇,陈旭锋.实验室检验指标对成人体外心肺复苏患者死亡风险的预测价值[J].南京医科大学学报(自然科学版),2025,45(10):1494-1501

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-10-16
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