基于影像组学的胃癌术前阳性淋巴结比率预测模型的研究
作者:
作者单位:

1南京医科大学第一附属医院普外科,江苏 南京 210029 ; 2.海安市中医院普外科,江苏 南通 226600

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

R735.2

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金(82373335);江苏省科教能力提升工程(江苏省医学重点学科)(ZDXK202222)


Prediction model for positive lymph node ratio of gastric cancerbased on radiomics
Author:
Affiliation:

1Department of General Surgery,the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University,Nanjing 210029 ; 2.Department of General Surgery,Hai’an Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital,Nantong 226600 ,China

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    目的:构建并验证一个基于术前增强CT影像组学特征联合临床因素的列线图模型,用于术前预测胃癌患者的阳性淋巴结比率(lymph node ratio,LNR),以期为个体化治疗决策提供依据。方法:回顾性收集380例行胃癌根治术患者的临床及术前增强CT资料,按7∶3的比例划分为训练集(n=266)与验证集(n=114)。使用PyRadiomics平台提取动脉期和静脉期图像的影像组学特征,经特征筛选后,采用支持向量机(support vector machine,SVM)、随机森林(random forest,RF)和逻辑回归(logistic regression,LR)3种机器学习算法构建预测模型。通过受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)、决策曲线分析(decision curve analysis,DCA)评估模型性能。将显著预测因素纳入多因素Logistic回归分析并构建列线图。结果:RF模型预测性能最佳,其在训练集和验证集中的AUC值分别为0.733和0.778。多因素分析确定性别、临床N分期(cN)和影像组学评分(Rad-score)是LNR的独立预测因素(P均<0.05)。基于上述因素构建的列线图模型在验证集中表现出优异的预测效能,AUC为0.821,且DCA显示其具有较高的临床净获益。结论:成功构建了一个融合影像组学与临床因素的列线图模型,能够在术前有效预测胃癌患者的LNR状态,有助于识别高危患者并指导个体化治疗。

    Abstract:

    Objective:To develop and validate a nomogram model based on preoperative contrast -enhanced CT radiomic features combined with clinical factors for predicting the lymph node ratio(LNR)in gastric cancer patients,aiming to provide a basis for individualized treatment decision - making. Methods:Clinical data and preoperative enhanced CT images of 380 patients who underwent radical gastrectomy were retrospectively collected and divided into a training set(n=266)and a validation set(n=114)in a 7∶3 ratio. Radiomic features were extracted from arterial and venous phase images using the PyRadiomics platform. After feature selection,three machine learning algorithms,namely support vector machine(SVM),random forest(RF),and logistic regression(LR), were employed to build prediction models. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC)curve(AUC)and decision curve analysis(DCA). Significant predictors were incorporated into multivariate logistic regression to construct a nomogram. Results:The RFmodel demonstrated the best predictive performance,with AUC values of 0.733 and 0.778 in the training set and validation set,respectively. Multivariate analysis identified sex,clinical N stage(cN),and radiomic score(Radscore)as independent predictors of LNR(all P < 0.05). The nomogram incorporating these factors showed excellent predictive efficacy in the validation set,with an AUC of 0.821,and DCA indicated favorable clinical net benefit. Conclusion:A nomogram integrating radiomics and clinical factors was successfully developed and validated for the preoperative prediction of LNR in gastric cancer patients,which can effectively predict the LNR status of gastric cancer patients preoperatively,helping to identify high - risk patients and guide individualized treatment strategies.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

陈柃池,周乾正,李琼,李沣员,徐皓.基于影像组学的胃癌术前阳性淋巴结比率预测模型的研究[J].南京医科大学学报(自然科学版),2025,45(11):1572-1579

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2025-07-23
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-12
  • 出版日期:
关闭