胆道闭锁Kasai术后早期死亡或者肝移植相关因素分析
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南京医科大学附属儿童医院新生儿外科,江苏 南京 210008

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R726.1

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南京市科技发展项目(201723006);南京市儿童医院院内课题(DKYB-03)


Analysis of factors associated with early death/liver transplantation after Kasai procedure for biliary atresia
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Department of Neonatal Surgery,the Affiliated Children’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University,Nanjing 210008 ,China

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    摘要:

    目的:总结胆道闭锁(biliary atresia,BA)Kasai 术(Kasai procedure,KP)后自体肝生存(native liver survival,NLS)状况,分析KP后早期死亡或者需肝移植(death or liver transplantation,D/LT)的相关因素。方法:收集2020年5月—2024年5月在南京医科大学附属儿童医院接受KP的Ⅲ型BA患儿临床资料,Kaplan-Meier生存分析法总结术后1年NLS特点,通过单因素和多因素Cox回归模型分析寻找KP后早期D/LT的相关因素。结果:共105例接受KP的BA患儿纳入研究,随访期12~60个月, 中位随访时间34个月,41例D/LT,其中术后第1年内D/LT 35例,占总D/LT人数的85.4%。Kaplan-Meier生存曲线估计KP后平均NLS时间为(38.4±2.5)个月,1年实际NLS率为66.7%,2年估计自体肝累积生存率为59.6%,估计3~5年内累积生存率与2年累积生存率一致。单因素和多因素Cox回归模型发现术前超声肝脏硬度(liver stiffness measurement,LSM)和术后3个月内未能达到黄疸清除(jaundice clearance,JC)是KP术后D/LT的独立相关因素[HR(95%CI):1.031(1.001~1.064),P=0.049;HR(95% CI):6.394(3.141~13.015),P < 0.001]。66例(62.9%)术后3个月内发生胆管炎,其中18例(27.27%)发生在术后1个月内,术后 1个月内发生胆管炎的患儿术后3个月JC率低于术后1个月后发生胆管炎的患儿(50.0% vs. 77.1%,χ2 =4.546,P=0.033)。结论: KP后D/LT多发生在术后1年内,术后2年可达到NLS稳定状态。术前超声LSM及术后JC时间是术后早期D/LT的独立相关因素,术前LSM高于11.6 kPa、Metavir预分级F2以上、JC时间>3个月,NLS率明显降低。KP后1个月内发生胆管炎会降低KP术后3个月的JC率。

    Abstract:

    Objective:To summarize the status of native liver survival(NLS)in the early stage after Kasai procedure(KP)in patients with biliary atresia(BA),and to analyze the factors associated with early death or liver transplantation(D/LT)after KP. Methods:The clinical data of children with type Ⅲ BA who underwent KP at the Affiliated Children’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from May 2020 to May 2024 were collected. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to summarize the characteristics of NLS after KP at 1 year postoperatively. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were employed to identify associated factors for early D/LT after KP. Results:A total of 105 children with BA who underwent KP were enrolled in the study,with a follow-up period of 12 to 60 months and a median follow-up time of 34 months. Among them,41 cases experienced D/LT,including 35 cases of D/LT within the first year after surgery,accounting for 85.4% of the total D/LT cases. The Kaplan -Meier survival curve estimated an average NLS time of (38.4±2.5)months after KP,with an actual 1-year NLS rate of 66.7% and an estimated 2-year cumulative NLS rate of 59.6%. The estimated 3-5 year cumulative survival rate was consistent with the 2-year cumulative survival rate. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models revealed that the preoperative liver stiffness measurement(LSM)by ultrasonography and a jaundice clearance(JC) time exceeding 3 months postoperatively are two independent associated factors with early D/LT after the KP[HR(95% CI):1.031(1.001- 1.064),P=0.049;HR(95% CI):6.394(3.141- 13.015),P < 0.001]. Among the 105 patients,66(62.9% )developed cholangitis within 3 months postoperatively,with 18(27.27% )developing postoperative cholangitis within the first month. A statistically significant difference was observed in the 3-month postoperative JC rates between those with cholangitis developing within 1 month postoperatively,and those with cholangitis developing after 1 month postoperatively(50.0% vs. 77.1%,χ2 =4.546,P=0.033). Conclusion:Most cases of D/LT after KP occur within the first year postoperatively,and a stable NLS state can be achieved by the second year after KP. The preoperative LSM and postoperative JC time are independent associated factors for early D/LT after KP in children with BA. The preoperative LSM was higher than 11.6 kPa,above Metavir F2,and the JC time was greater than 3 months would significantly reduce the rate of early NLS. Postoperative cholangitis within the first month after KP can reduce the JC rate within three months post-KP.

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陈焕,耿其明,李薇,路长贵.胆道闭锁Kasai术后早期死亡或者肝移植相关因素分析[J].南京医科大学学报(自然科学版),2026,46(3):444-451

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  • 收稿日期:2025-12-15
  • 最后修改日期:2026-01-23
  • 录用日期:2026-01-26
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-03-12
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