Page 73 - 南京医科大学自然版
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第46卷第10期 史灵恩,孙 琦,尤心仪,等. 2010—2024年江苏省乙型病毒性肝炎流行趋势与特征[J].
2026年10月 南京医科大学学报(自然科学版),2026,46(10):1499-1510,1560 ·1503 ·
000) 40 Nanjing 000) 40 Wuxi 000) 40 Changzhou
30
30
30
ASIR (1/100 20 (1/100 ASIR 20 (1/100 ASIR 20
10
10
10
0 0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Year ASIR Year ASIR Year
ASIR
South of Jiangsu 000) APC=-17.39,95%CI:-35.93-6.52,P > 0.05 APC=-16.29,95%CI:-27.87--2.86,P=0.026 APC=-37.25,95%CI:-62.58-5.22,P=0.072
APC=18.88,95%CI:2.27-38.19,P=0.030
APC=3.09,95%CI:-0.82-7.15,P=0.110
APC=10.68,95%CI:4.67-17.04,P=0.004
APC=-8.20,95%CI:-11.79--4.45,P=0.001
APC=60.05,95%CI:23.01-108.25,P=0.004
40
000)
40
Zhenjiang
Suzhou
ASIR (1/100 30 (1/100 ASIR 30
20
20
10
10
0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Year Year
ASIR ASIR
APC=3.44,95%CI:1.06-5.87,P=0.008 APC=4.28,95%CI:-0.78-9.607,P=0.092
000) 40 Nantong 000) (1/100 40 Yangzhou 000) (1/100 50 Taizhou
40
30
30
30
20
20
Central Jiangsu ASIR (1/100 10 0 ASIR 10 0 ASIR 20 0
10
2015
2013
2014
2016
2017
2017
2016
2016
2011
2010
2012
Year 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Year 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Year 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
ASIR ASIR ASIR
APC=-26.42,95%CI:-61.52-40.70,P=0.300 APC=-19.18,95%CI:-35.03-0.54,P=0.055 APC=-24.90,95%CI:-33.17--15.62,
APC=61.35,95%CI:-18.89-220.96,P=0.144 APC=3.70,95%CI:-1.48-9.16,P=0.138 P < 0.001
APC=-2.84,95%CI:-6.56-1.02,P=0.124 APC=24.55,95%CI:-13.78-79.92,P=0.201 APC=16.35,95%CI:7.29-26.17,P=0.002
000) 80 Xuzhou 000) 40 Lianyungang 000) 40 Huai’an
30
60
30
ASIR (1/100 40 (1/100 ASIR 20 (1/100 ASIR 20
10
10
20
0 0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Year Year Year
ASIR ASIR ASIR
North of Jiangsu 000) APC=41.49,95%CI:17.27-70.71,P=0.002 000) APC=13.95,95%CI:8.02--20.20,P < 0.001
APC=0.99,95%CI:-0.13-2.11,P=0.079
APC=-7.23,95%CI:-16.19-2.69,P=0.131
APC=-11.93,95%CI:31.02-12.45,P=0.274
120
40
Suqian
Yancheng
100
30
ASIR (1/100 20 (1/100 ASIR 80
60
40
10
0 20 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Year Year
ASIR ASIR
APC=8.61,95%CI:-1.09-19.26,P=0.075 APC=22.70,95%CI:12.16-34.23,P=0.001
APC=-5.12,95%CI:-17.46-9.06,P=0.402 APC=-26.36,95%CI:-48.29-4.87,P=0.080
APC=8.29,95%CI:3.74-13.03,P=0.003 APC=-3.22,95%CI:-10.85-5.06,P=0.377
图3 江苏省13个设区市2010—2024年HBV⁃ASIR变化
Figure 3 Trends of reported HBV⁃ASIR in different cities in Jiangsu from 2010 to 2024

